Accuscore Predicts Ohio State Oregon National Championship Game

All signs point to Oregon winning its first-ever title.

After simulating the game 10,000 times, AccuScore has Oregon as a 68.2 percent favorite to win the game outright, which translates into money-line odds of about -215.   The day before the game, William Hill and CG Technology were both dealing the Ducks at -190, and while that’s a favorable number to lay based on AccuScore projections, we’ll look elsewhere for our recommended play. 

Live odds: Current Ohio State-Oregon spreads and totals

With an average score after 10,000 simulations of 45-34, there’s a 58.6 percent chance the Ducks cover a 5.5-point spread*, a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. 

Also, there’s nearly a 57 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 74.5, also a three-star hot trend.  In a supporting trend, 12 of Ohio State’s last 13 games have gone OVER the total.

Notes: Since 2007, Oregon is 5-1 against Big 10 competition. …Ducks WR Darren Carrington ineligible for the championship game. …The last time these two sides played, Ohio State covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs and defeated Oregon 26-17 in the 2010 Rose Bowl. 

*This pick was made when Oregon was available at -5.5.  At -6, the Ducks have a 56.5 percent chance to cover, according to AccuScore.